1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Development of an Aggregated Energy Security Performance Indicator (AESP) and its application to Thailand

AuthorJuthamanee Martchamadol
Call NumberAIT Diss. no.ET-12-04
Subject(s)Aggregated Energy Security Performance Indicator (AESP)
Aggregates
Energy security+N482

NoteA dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Engineering in Energy
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractEnergy is an important input for sustainable develo pment, as it has strong influences on social, economic, and environmental development, le ading to improved livelihoods, agricultural and industrial productivity, better he alth, and cleaner environment. Definition of energy security encompass issues related to soci al, environment & economic, and so an assessment of energy security requires a holistic a nalysis through appropriate indicators because indicators are measurable, present the degr ee of success, and are easy to understand. Earlier studies on energy security indi cators addressed different objectives, perspectives and various dimensions: global, region al, economic and environment, and usually presented relations that deal with the pair : energy-economic, or energy - social, or energy - environment, and there was no linkage that represen ts the four dimensions - social, energy, economy and environment. Therefore, more t han one indicator was usually needed to analyze the policy responses and measures . Moreover, using large set of indicators is unwieldy and difficult to use effecti vely. Some of the indicators needed expert judgment to provide weights for the involved parame ters, which can lead to bias. Besides, the set of indicators are usually at a country (nat ional) level, and so its effectiveness and use at provincial level is questionable as differen t provinces have varying degrees of development. Furthermore, the available aggregated indicators do not show the trend of energy security nor do they help in assessing futur e performance of energy policy strategy/plan of the country. This study aimed to b ridge these research gaps, with the overall objective to develop a single comprehensive measurement (an aggregated indicator) called “ A ggregated E nergy S ecurity Performance I ndicator ( AESPI )” to capture the various dimensions of energy indices to assess and monitor energy security. This takes into consideration social, economic and environment perspectives, and also used to develop, monitor and evaluate energy policies. The research therefore had two specific objectives: AESPI development, and its application at a country and provincial level. The development of AESPI used 25 indicators of Ener gy Indicator for Sustainable Development (EISD). The AESPI, which varies between 1-10 (highest energy security), employs an eight step processes, from data collecti on to final AESPI estimation. The 25 individual indicators used to develop AESPI encompa ss parameters related to social, economic & environment dimensions of sustainable de velopment, and based on the definition of energy security. The steps involve th e application of energy policies, indicator formulation, and its standardization, fol lowing which the sampling adequacy and correlation testing is done. The Principal Componen t Analysis (PCA) technique was used for grouping of indicators and the estimation of we ighing factors. These results are then used to calculate the group index (GI), and then th e AESPI. The developed AESPI method was then applied using t he data for Thailand, considering four foci: past performance of energy security, nat ional energy scenario analysis (1986- 2030), monitoring the actual energy security perfor mance at national level (2010), and at provincial level (2001-2009) of three selected prov inces - Ayutthaya (industrial province), Krabi (agriculture province) and Phuket (tourism pr ovince). The past performance of AESPI for Thailand for the period 1986-1991, showed that it had a decreasing trend from level 9.1 in 1986 to level 6.9 in 1991. Then, AESPI varied between level 6.1 and 6.8 during 1992-2009 when Tha iland launched many energy conservation, energy efficiency and renewable energ y promotion programs.
Year2012
TypeDissertation
SchoolSchool of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD)
DepartmentDepartment of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC))
Academic Program/FoSEnergy Technology (ET)
Chairperson(s)Kumar, Sivanappan;
Examination Committee(s)Marpaung, Charles O. P. ;Salam, P. Abdul ;Ahmad, Mokbul Morshed;
Scholarship Donor(s)Royal Thai Government ;Asian Institute of Technology Fellowship;
DegreeThesis (Ph. D.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2012


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