1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Towards a low-carbon society for Vietnam : analyses of selected long-term energy strategies

AuthorNguyen Hoang Lan
Call NumberAIT Thesis no.ET-08-02
Subject(s)Energy policy--Vietnam
Energy consumption--Vietnam

NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement forthe degree of Master of Engineering in Energ
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
Series StatementThesis ; no. ET-08-02
AbstractThis study analyzes the effects of selected long-term energy strategies to achieve a Low-carbon society in Vietnam. The strategies considered include carbon tax, emission target at the national level; energy efficiency improvement in residential sector and modal shifting in transportation sector. This study shows that carbon dioxide emission during 2000 - 2050 could be reduced by 21 % through the carbon tax policies, the carbon tax relevant to the stabilization level in the atmosphere at 450 ppmv, 550 ppmv and 650 ppmv is taken from Edmonds (2006); 6% by modal shifting in transportation and 2 % by reduce 3% service demand in residential sector. Besides, the energy intensity (defined as final energy used per floor area) would decrease by 2% to 10% in residential sector with the introduction of the new and efficient technologies in the sector. In the transportation sector, modal shifting could reduce the energy intensity (defined as final energy used per transport service demand) by up to 50% reduction in the case of passenger transportation and by 11 % in freight transportation. The study also shows that the share of carbon capture and storage technologies in power sector would increase with the level of carbon tax. Nuclear power generation would also contribute significantly in total carbon dioxide emission reduction. The study also analyzed the implications of setting a carbon dioxide emission (reduction) target in Vietnam. Two cases of emission targets were considered: (i) setting the total annual carbon dioxide emission 25% below the base case emission level during 20 10-2050 (CLl 0_25) and (ii) cumulative emission reduction target of 50% during 2010-2050 from the corresponding value in the base case (CT50). In total final energy consumption, the electricity share increase from 15% in base case to 27% and 40.5% in CL10_25 and CT50, respectively. The total primary energy consumption reduces by 5% in CL10_25. However, this value increases by 35% in the CT50. Besides, the role of renewable technologies (wind, solar, hydro, biomass, etc.), energy efficient technologies, emerging technologies (nuclear power, carbon capture and storage, fuel cell vehicles) is important in the way to meet emission target. In emission target case CT50, water heating in the residential and commercial sectors would be based entirely on solar water heating from 2010. In the power generation, the share of hydropower increases in 2015 from 37% in base case to 56% and 59% in CLIO_25 and CT50 respectively. The high efficient technologies share increase up to 100% in air transportation, in cooling service. In 2020, the share of coal CCS plant is 54% and the value will decrease thereafter. Meanwhile, the share of gas CCS plant increases from 5.7% in 2020 to 91 % in 2050
Year2008
Corresponding Series Added EntryAsian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. ET-08-02
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD)
DepartmentDepartment of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC))
Academic Program/FoSEnergy Technology (ET)
Chairperson(s)Shrestha, Ram M.
Examination Committee(s)Kumar, Sivanappan;Nguyen Thi Kim Oanh
Scholarship Donor(s)The Swedish International Development CooperationAgency
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2008


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