Least cost power generation expansion planning : a case study of Kyrgyzstan | |
| Author | Sukenaliev, Samat Kuvatbekovich |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ET-09-09 |
| Subject(s) | Electric power systems--Planning--Kyrgyzstan Electric utilities--Kyrgyzstan--Costs |
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Energy |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | In this thesis, dynamic programming based Wien Automatic Planning Package (WASP) is proposed to determine the least cost generation expansion planning for Kyrgyzstan power system from 2009-2030. The obtained solution is rerun with different scenarios including low/high discount rate, fuel cost and capacity cost values to identify their impacts to LRAC and the total discounted cost. Discount rate for the base case is taken as 10%. It is found that the discount rate variation from 8% to 15% can greatly influence the total discounted cost of the project from 43,350 to 55,395 million US$ and LRAC in the range of 9.20 cents/kWh to 9.38 cents/kWh. Furthermore, the fuel cost decreases by 8% to 10% and increases by 8% to 20% can decrease the total discounted cost by 7% to 12% and increase the total discounted cost by 11 % to 49%. The capacity cost increases from 8% to 15% influences LRAC in the range of 10.05 cent/kWh to 10.26 cent/kWh. It is observed that the capacity cost increase has the greatest impact on LRAC of the project, whereas the fuel cost will have the greatest impact on the total discounted cost. |
| Year | 2009 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
| Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Weerakorn Ongsakul; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Shrestha, Ram M.;Nadarajah, Mithulananthan; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | RAM Engineering Associates Ltd., Kyrgyz Republic;Asian Institute of Technology Fellowship; |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2009 |