1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Environmental and economic impacts of power generation planning in Vietnam : an input-output analysis

AuthorHuynh Thi Huong Thao
Call NumberAIT Thesis no.ET-09-11
Subject(s)Electric power systems--Planning--Vietnam

NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Energy
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractThis study assesses the environmental and economic wide effects of power generation expansion in Vietnam for period 2012-2030. While WASP-IV model is used to find the optimal power generation expansion, Input-Output model is applied to examine the environmental and economic wide effect of the planning. The study shows the schedule to generate the power at optimal cost to satisfy power demand. Besides, it indicates that in next 20 years, if Vietnam only consider fossil fuels and hydropower, domestic resources is not enough for power generation. Imported coal would be the optimal option for power generation at least cost. The study analyzes the economic wide effect of power generation expansion in term of output multiplier, income multiplier and employment multiplier. While output multiplier reflects the output increasing in the economy to satisfy power plants construction, the income multiplier and employment multiplier determine the income and the man-year can be created from power generation for social during planning horizon. The study also calculates the direct and indirect C0₂ emission due to power generation expansion during 2012-2030. The C0₂ emission of power generation comes from three phases that include construction, operation and decommissioning. While construction and decommissioning phase relate to final demand, operation phase involves fuel change and structure change. The result shows that key factor that contributes to C0₂ emission change between 2012 and 2030 is final demand. Besides, the study examines the impacts of carbon tax on price of economic sector through power sector. The carbon tax were established at five levels 10 USD/ton, 25 USD/ton, 50 USD/ton, 75 USD/ton and 100 USD/ton of C0₂ emission. The carbon tax increases the price of fossil fuel that used to generate electricity; as a result, the price of power sector increased. Because other sectors in the economy use output of power sector as their inputs, the change in price of power sector leads to increase price of goods and services. This effect can be measured by Input-Output model.
Year2009
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD)
DepartmentDepartment of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC))
Academic Program/FoSEnergy Technology (ET)
Chairperson(s)Shrestha, Ram M.;
Examination Committee(s)Kumar, Sivanappan;Marpaung, Charles O.P.;
Scholarship Donor(s)EVN;Asian Institute of Technology fellowship;
DegreeThesis (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2009


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