Strategies towards a low carbon society : a case study on transport and industrial sector of Kathmandu Valley, Nepal | |
| Author | Thaiba, Saurabh |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ET-10-30 |
| Subject(s) | Transportation--Energy conservation--Kathmandu Valley Industries--Energy conservation--Kathmandu Valley Greenhouse gas mitigation--Kathmandu Valley |
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Energy |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | Kathmandu energy system model on MESSAGE framework is developed for energy planning from 2005 to 2035. The model is used in the analysis of the least cost energy supply structure, sectoral energy consumption growth. Base Case analysis shows that the TPES is expected to grow almost 2.5 times from 2005 to 2035. Petroleum products are the major source in the base case with a share of 47% in the TPES. However, the share is expected to decrease to 35% in the year 2035, it still remains as one of the major source of energy for Kathmandu Valley. On the other hand, the share of electricity in the base year is found to be almost 9% and it is expected to rise to almost 25% by the year 2035. It is highly expected that electricity plays a major role in the decrease of petroleum import by substituting it as a fuel. Transport sector in the year 2035 will have almost 33% share of the total energy consumed, followed by residential, industrial and commercial sector respectively with 29%, 25% and 14% of the share respectively. There is a significant drop expected in the share for residential sector from 44% in 2005 to 29% in the year 2035. On the other hand, transport and industrial sector which has 21% and 25% share in the total energy consumption in 2005 is expected to rise up to almost 33% and 25% in the year 2035 respectively. Industrial, Transport and Residential sector has the major contribution in CO2 and SO2 emission in the base year. However, residential sector has a significant drop in the emission of CO2 and SO2 in the year 2035. The share is found to be 22% and 14% for CO2 and SO2 emission in the base year which is expected to decrease to 10% and 9% by the year 2035. Industrial and Transport sector are again found to have the highest share in N2O emission. Industrial has been found to have a share of 57% accompanied by transport sector with a share of 37% in the base year. However, it is expected that the share of Industrial sector will eventually drop down to 44% and transport sector will climb up to 55% in the year 2035. As far as the emission of CH4 is concerned transport sector has the highest share with almost 75% followed by residential sector which has 23% of the share in total emission in 2005. The share of transport sector is expected to grow up to 93% whereas residential sector is expected to consequently fall to 6% in the year 2035 in the emission of CH4. This drop in the emission from residential sector can be a result of using LPG, Solar and electricity as a fuel for cooking, space heating/cooling and water heating respectively. However, the share of agriculture sector in the overall emission is found to be negligible and is expected to be under 0.1% throughout the planning period. |
| Year | 2010 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
| Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Marpaung, Charles O. P.; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Weerakorn Ongsakul;Salam, Abdul P.; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Asian Institute of Technology Fellowship; |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2010 |