Implications of electric mobility for Kathmandu Valley on energy demand, green-house gas emissions and analysis of barriers | |
| Author | Pradhan, Bhavin |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ET-18-03 |
| Subject(s) | Electric vehicles Greenhouse gas mitigation |
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Energy |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | Transport sector, around the globe, is undergoing transformational change. India’s FAME-India scheme that aims to produce only electric vehicles from 2030will have a profound impact on Nepal’s import dependent transport sector. This report studies the transport energy demand, emissions and major barriers for adoption of electric mobility in Kathmandu Valley. Future projection shows that, at the current vehicle growth rate, the total number of operational vehicles, energy demand and CO2emissions will increase by 5.4, 5.4 and 2.7 times respectively in 2040 compared to 2016. The study examines various scenarios of electrifying passenger transport from 2016-2040using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) framework. The scenario analyses suggest that introducing electric two-wheelers, public buses and metro-rail in Kathmandu will reduce fossil-fuel consumption and enhance energy security in 2040 by 14%, 57% and 39% respectively. These scenarios will require 272.7 MW,2942.67 MW and 2283.11 MW additional electricity respectively. Electrification of any vehicle type will significantly reduce CO2and PM10levels. PM10 will be reduced by more than 70% if all the public passenger vehicles are electric in 2040.Barriersanalysis for EV penetration in Kathmandu Valley using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) shows that financial issues (mainly high up-front cost) as the main barrier followed by policy & governance barriers. Life-Cycle Cost approach to analyze cost competitiveness of electric vehicles show that at current market prices, only electric cars are cost competitive to conventional cars. Electric motor-bikes and buses are expensive mainly due to the high up-front cost of the vehicle and battery replacement cost. |
| Year | 2018 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
| Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Dhakal, Shobhakar; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Singh, Jai Govind ;Salam, P. Abdul; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Asian Institute of Technolog Fellowship; |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2018 |