| Author | Unni, C. Rohith |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ET-18-04 |
| Subject(s) | Carbon dioxide mitigation--India
|
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Energy |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | India announced the INDC target in 2015 and ratified the Paris agreement in 2016. According to India’s NDC the country pledged to reduce the total GHG emission per unit GDP by 33-35% from 2005 level by 2030. This study focused on the responsibility of passenger road transport in the total emission target concerned with India’s NDC. The required CO2 emission budget is taken from the study done by S. Dhar et., al and it shows an equivalent reduction of 139 million tonnes of CO2 from transport sector from BAU is necessary to achieve the emission target concerned with NDC. Assuming 50% responsibility for passenger road transport and remaining for other mode of transportation it has to contribute to a reduction of nearly 70 million tonnes from BAU. This study created a vehicle stock model to estimate total number of passenger vehicles on road using Weibull survival probability function. The model considered 6types of vehicles which includes 2 wheelers, LMVs, private cars, jeeps, buses and taxis. The result shows an estimate of 228 million passenger vehicles on road by 2030 in which nearly 90% will be 2 wheelers. Passenger km travelled by each vehicle is calculated and major share of passenger km is shown by buses (6,724,742,671,100 pass-km). Fuel mix in different scenarios shows an electric vehicle penetration of 10% of total stock in sustainable development scenario and 17% of share in total stock in NEMMP. Future emission from passenger transport is estimated using LEAP. Under BAU scenario passenger transport will emit 225 million tonnes of CO2. Major emitters are Buses (85.4 million tonnes), 2 wheelers (67.6 million tonnes) and cars (43 million tonnes). In the sustainable development scenario, the emission is reduced to 130 million tonnes because of EV penetration, increase in CNG vehicle population and improvement in fuel efficiencies. NEMMP policy can further reduce the emission to 124 million tonnes of CO2. The result shows there is a decrease in the emission of 101 million tonnes from BAU. The analysis reveals that current policies taken by India in transport sector are capable of meeting the emission target concerned with NDC. |
| Year | 2018 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
| Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Dhakal, Shobhakar; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Salam, Abdul P.;Phdungsilp, Aumnad ; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Asian Institute of Technology Fellowship; |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2018 |