Apply the Bayesian belief networks based model to quantify schedule risk in block B-Omon gas pipeline project in Vietnam | |
| Author | Nguyen Manh Tuong |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ISE-10-30 |
| Subject(s) | Time delay systems Project management Bayesian statistical decision theory |
| Note | A master project report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Professional Master of Engineering inIndustrial Engineering and Management, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Thesis ; no. ISE-10-30 |
| Abstract | In this research project, we establish a model for quantifying schedule delay risk of Block B-Omon Gas Pipeline construction project in Vietnam(gas pipeline project). Bayesian belief networks (BBNs), a technique developed based on conditional probability theory, is selected to be employed for this research.Based on theconceptual BBNs model of Van et al. (2009), Authorhave revised themodel to suite with the investigated project and then used the revised model to quantify schedule delay risk.From the results of themodel and analysis, it have been found that “owner‟s site clearance difficulties”, “slow site handover of owner”, “inadequate contractors experience”and “inclement weather”are the main causes of delay on Block B-Omon Gas Pipeline construction projectin Vietnam. Theseresultsallowthe owner and contractor to recognize their responsibilitiesand how thesefactors affected on schedule delay. This will also help the owner and contractormake the right decision intime in order to avoid the occurrence of schedule delayin the project execution phase. |
| Year | 2010 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. ISE-10-30 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Department of Industrial Systems Engineering (DISE) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Industrial Systems Engineering (ISE) |
| Chairperson(s) | Voratas Kachitvichyanukul |
| Examination Committee(s) | Huynh Trung Luong |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Petro Vietnam |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2010 |