1
Assessing water supply and demand under climate change scenarios in Quetta, Pakistan | |
Author | Ilyas, Shehzad |
Call Number | AIT Thesis no.WM-18-07 |
Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Water Engineering and Management, School of Engineering and Technology |
Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
Abstract | Evaluation of water supply and demand in urban zones is critical for comprehension of water stress level in the region for better water management. This study was conducted to foresee future climate conditions in Mangi basin, assessing future water accessibility in the basin under changing climate and evaluating water supply and demand circumstances of Quetta city under expanding populace. To project future climate conditions and assessing future streamflow in Mangi Khost river, observed data of 20 years from 1974-1993 and three regional climate models (Access 1.0, RCA-4, CM3-CCAM) from cordex south Asia for future appraisal periods of, near future NF (2021-2040), Mid future MF (2051-2070) and Far future FF (2080-2099) under two situations RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 were used. An expansion in temperature by 1°C to 5°C is anticipated before the century ends. So also, precipitation is additionally demonstrating an expanding pattern all through future time span. Calibrated Hec-Hms model was used to simulate climate change effect on future surface accessibility in Mangi basin. Anticipated change in mean yearly stream is demonstrating an expanding pattern in wet season from February to May and remaining months have relatively same stream conditions. Three situations were created to examine supply and demand circumstance in Quetta city. Scenario-I, existing conditions; Scenario-II, addition of Mangi dam supplies; Scenario-III, demand management and losses reduction. A general reduction in water deficiency can be seen after provisions from Mangi dam however, still there is a gap amongst supply and demand. Appropriate demand management can decrease the shortfall drastically in Quetta. |
Year | 2018 |
Type | Thesis |
School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
Academic Program/FoS | Water Engineering and Management (WM) |
Chairperson(s) | Duc Hoang Nguyen; |
Examination Committee(s) | Babel, Mukand S.;Shrestha, Sangam ; |
Scholarship Donor(s) | AIT Fellowship; |