Driving factors of carbon dioxide emission in Vietnam: an analysis using factor decomposition method | |
| Author | Vuong Thi Tram |
| Call Number | AIT RSPR no.ET-19-03 |
| Subject(s) | Carbon dioxide emissions--Environmental effects Decomposition (Mathematics) |
| Note | A research study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Energy |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Research studies project report ; no. ET-19-03 |
| Abstract | This study analyzes the key factors behind the CO2 emissions in Vietnam at national and sectoral level from 2000 to 2016 by using Log – Mean Divisia Index method of decomposition. The decomposition analysis explains the increasing of CO2 emissions with five different factors: Carbon intensity of fossil fuel effect, fuel mix effect, energy intensity effect for both level; and income effect and demographic effect for country level also; economic structure and activity effect for sectoral level. There are three objectives: 1, To examine the trend of CO2 emission in Vietnam and potential factor drivers at country and industry sector level; 2, To identify positive and negative contributions of driving factors and its relative extends for a given change in CO2 emission from 2000 – 2016; 3, To determine policy linked to behavior of driving factors based on given change of CO2 emission at country level. The results show that in country level, Vietnam CO2 emission has a trend to increase over the time. And among five factors, income and population have positive effect on CO2 emission growth while the other contribute to both decline and increase of the GHG emission. With industry level, only economic activity development is the dominant factor of increasing CO2 emission in the whole time period while the other factors contribute to both negative and positive of emission. Besides, Vietnam government also has policy to improve energy efficiency and try to meet the rapid increasing demand of energy. However, due to industrialization, population growth, economic development and trading expansion, the energy requirement has been increased significantly which lead to the high consume of non – renewable energy, especially coal, resulting in escalation of CO2 emission during the 2000 – 2016 period. Vietnam shifted from a net export energy country to a net import energy country from 2015. Unfortunately, the tendency is expected to continue in the future if the government do not have strong and effective policies to limit fossil fuel consumption as well as CO2 emission. |
| Year | 2019 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Research studies project report ; no. ET-19-03 |
| Type | Research Study Project Report (RSPR) |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
| Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Dhakal, Shobhakar; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Roy, Joyashree;Aumnad Phdungsilp ; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Loom Nam Khong Pijai (Greater Mekong Subregion) Scholarships; |
| Degree | Research Studies Project Report (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2019 |