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System dynamics modeling for design-build construction projects | |
Author | Suwat Chritamara |
Call Number | AIT Diss. no. ST-01-01 |
Subject(s) | Construction industry--Management |
Note | A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment ofrequirements for the degree of Doctor of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
Series Statement | Dissertation ; no. ST-01-01 |
Abstract | This study is concerned with the application of the system dynamics concept to construction projects. A dynamic model has been developed for the specific case of design and build (D!B) construction projects. System dynamics methodology was used because construction projects comprises of complex systems with various variables, non-linear behaviors, uniqueness and feedback structure. An attempt has been made in this study to improve D!B project time and cost performance. A generic system dynamics model is developed that incorporates major sub-systems and their relationships inherent in D!B constructions projects. The model was validated and calibrated for typical large D!B infrastructure projects using time and cost related problems experienced in Thailand. The research was started by undertaking a review of design and build construction literature. The main variables and critical problems were identified at the initiating stage. Problems such as unclear scope development at the beginning, information sharing between client and contractor, design changes, communication and coordination lapses among parties and project interface problems with the environment are commonplace in D!B procurement. Critical variables such as insufficient owner information, ill-conceived scheme of employer requirement, change of employer requirement, significant change of original design, delay of design approval, client initiated changes during construction were included in the model to investigate their effects on time and cost performance of a D!B project. The D!B dynamic model is divided into seven sections: 1) Employer's information; 2) Design; 3) Man-power; 4) Material; 5) Equipment; 6) Construction; and 7) Financial sub-systems. The model was validated and tested using data collected from D!B construction projects in Bangkok. By statistical analysis, the model's simulation output was shown to be quantitatively quite close to the actual data collected. Qualitatively, the model has been validated by all necessary tests including (1) test of model structure by comparison with existing literature and through consultation with concerned field experts; (2) dimensional test of model equations; and (3) behavioral tests to ensure that the model is sufficiently stable. Thus, the model validation and calibration process has helped to confirm that the model is a good replication ofreality. Through sensitivity analysis of the model, design and construction changes from the owner or contractors are identified as the most sensitive parameters impacting project schedule and cost. The model expands to significant policies for improving design and build construction system. The experimentation of the model shows that different kinds of policies have different effects on project performance measured in terms of cost and time optimization. For the overall improvement in both time and cost, the combination of full overtime schedule, average material ordering, and fast track construction with moderate crashing of design was found to be useful. Whereas for cost optimization alone, extending construction schedule, combined with material ordering based on actual usage, and design and build with traditional construction method is the most appropriate. Fast track construction with moderate D/B integration seems to improve project's cost performance because of overlapping although some additional costs are added due to increases in design changes and errors to be corrected and construction changes and rework to be done, together with communication times needed to transfer design information to the construction fu nction. These costs can be reduced by decreasing D/B the overlap between D/B from high to moderate. From this study, it is found that crashing the project may not really be economical in some circumstances. In the experimentation, the project time and cost increased after moderate design schedule crashing (more than 20%). It is recommended that projects should not involve crashing design schedule especially in projects where design changes and errors are likely to be large and affect many other related sub-systems. In addition, the owner will benefit by knowing what level of initial scope definition is most beneficial to the project. Completing development of the scope of a project before engaging the design-builder can make the project finish early. However, involving the contractor in the scope development yields cost benefits. The simulation result shows that the client has to provide substantial initial scope at the beginning (between 50-70%) for cost and time to be optimized. |
Year | 2000 |
Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Dissertation ; no. ST-01-01 |
Type | Dissertation |
School | School of Engineering and Technology |
Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
Academic Program/FoS | Structural Engineering (STE) /Former Name = Structural Engineering and Construction (ST) |
Chairperson(s) | Ogunlana, Stephen 0.; |
Examination Committee(s) | Chotchai Charoenngam;Nguyen Luong Bach;Nagendra N., Nagarur;Ndekugri, Issaka E.; |
Degree | Thesis (Ph.D.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2000 |