1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

China's exchange rate regime : challenges ahead

AuthorLiu, Guojie
Call NumberAIT RSPR no.SM-03-40
Subject(s)Foreign exchange rates--China
NoteA research study submitted in partial fu lfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Business Administration, School of Management
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
Series StatementResearch studies project report ; no. SM-03-40
AbstractThe choice of appropriate exchange rate regime has been one of the prominent issues of widening debate after the recent financial crises in the developing countries. Currently, the China's foreign exchange system combines a virtual peg to the US dollar with direct and comprehensive capital account controls. In the end 2001, China finally entered WTO after 15 years negotiation. With the liberalization of trade and investment step by step, China is likely to experience an increase in nominal and real shocks in the medium term. Recently, China has frequently received pressure from the IMF and some trade partners to change to a more flexible exchange rate policy. Should China make a fundamental shift to flexible exchange rate regime? What are the preconditions for China to achieve a flexible exchange rate arrangement? This paper is to examine these issues in both theoretical and practical perspectives. In short term, it is better for China to keep the peg while China must push the economic reform further. With the development of financial sector and satisfaction of some preconditions, China can float its currency with a band or have a similar arrangement and gradually loose the capital account control. A sound exit strategy is also vital to the transition of exchange rate regime for China.
Year2003
Corresponding Series Added EntryAsian Institute of Technology. Research studies project report ; no. SM-03-40
TypeResearch Study Project Report (RSPR)
SchoolSchool of Management (SOM)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSMaster of Business Administration (MBA) (Publication code=SM)
Chairperson(s)Tang, John C.S.
Examination Committee(s)Singha Chiamsiri; Sununta Siengthai
Scholarship Donor(s)China Scholarship Council
DegreeResearch report (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technoloyg, 2003


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