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Socio-economic impacts of biofuel development in Thailand using economic input-output analysis | |
Author | Pidok Kako |
Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ET-20-02 |
Subject(s) | Biomass--Economic aspects--Thailand |
Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Energy, School of Environment, Resources and Development |
Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
Series Statement | Thesis ; no. ET-20-02 |
Abstract | According to Alternative Energy Development Plan AEDP2015, biofuels production targets were 11.3 and 14 million liters per day for ethanol and biodiesel respectively. Biofuels is considered as an alternative to decarbonize in transport sector and to substitute petroleum products. Among renewable energies, biofuels have relatively substantial impacts on socioeconomic since it is associated mostly with the agriculture sector; however, only few countries are suitable and capable to expand their feedstocks. This study applied I-O analysis to quantify the direct and indirect impacts of biofuels target on employment generation, GDP, and trade balance. In addition, since biofuels in Thailand are made from three main feedstocks with different production cost, three biofuel sub-sectors were created into the I-O table. Furthermore, labor consumption was endogenized into I-O model to offer a clear picture of the impacts on socioeconomic and to represent the impacts in mechanized farming scenario where the number of labors was replaced by mechanization. Jobs created by cassava ethanol and molasses ethanol production are higher than that of gasoline 19 and 15 times per TJ respectively. Likewise, jobs created by biodiesel produced are higher than that of diesel around 12 times per TJ. Biofuels development could create around 900,000 jobs which 85% are created in agricultural sector and displace 64,470 jobs that created by petroleum refinery industry in 2036. The impact of biofuels production on GDP contribution is above four times higher than that of petroleum production on equivalent energy content basis; moreover, the impact of biofuels on import is almost two times lower. The substitution effect increases the net GDP generation of biofuels production from nearly 120 to 180 billion THB in 2036. In mechanized farming scenario, despite slightly lower net GDP generation, the total job creation from cassava ethanol, molasses ethanol and biodiesel production decrease 44%, 58% and 15% respectively from conventional farming. |
Year | 2020 |
Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. ET-20-02 |
Type | Thesis |
School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
Chairperson(s) | Dhakal, Shobhakar; |
Examination Committee(s) | Salam, P. Abdul;Roy, Joyashree;Grafakos, Stelios; |
Scholarship Donor(s) | Loom Nam Khong Pijai (Greater Mekong Subregion) Scholarships; |
Degree | Thesis (M. Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2020 |