1
Least cost vehicular mix analysis for Hanoi passenger road transportation development and external costs | |
Author | Nguyen Thi Thanh Hue |
Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ET-05-7 |
Subject(s) | Transportation--Vietnam--Hanoi--Passenger traffic |
Note | A thesis submitted in pa1tial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science, School of Environment, Resources and Development |
Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
Abstract | For many countries the transport sector is the most rapidly growing energy end-use category lead to automobile emissions are the fastest increasing source of urban air pollution in most developing cities. Hanoi city has around 2.5 million vehicles of different types in 2002, accounting for 9.5% of the country's total vehicle fleet. For the past ten years, the vehicle fleet has grown on average by 11.8% annually and motorcycle fleet by 14.9%. It is estimated that on average there is 1 motorcycle for every 2 persons living in Hanoi city. Hanoi city already have air pollution problems since ambient concentration of some pollutants are measured over World Health Organization Air Quality Guideline (WHO AQG), some are seriously polluted to an alarming degree especially particulate matter and dust. Hanoi's spatial growth over the last decade has been rapid and urban sprawl is contributing to increasing travel demand. Thus, air pollution problems that could be greatly exacerbated if growth of the transport sector is not managed wisely. Moreover, air pollution is the subject of concern about health and environmental impacts and these impacts impose costs on society. Economists estimate external costs of air pollution are not only the most important criterion for decision-making but also could be quantified reliably. Urbanization in Vietnam actually caused heavily environmental degradation including air pollution and impact on public health. Another emerge urban transportation externality called urban traffic congestion is one of the greatest and most complex transport issues of our time. Traffic congestion is on the increase in Vietnam due to increasing travel demand, inadequate and overload road network especially Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh cities. There exists both health damage and traffic congestion issues for Hanoi transport sector but no previous study has quantified them in monetary term. At first, this study project vehicle population in different types based on the past vehicular data to. Then vehicle km travel by modes, vehicular emission and their concentration, health damage cost and congestion cost are estimated under this projection. The final goal of this study is to identify optimal types and stock of vehicles as well as their level of operation in order to meet the total projected passenger travel demand at a minimum cost during planning horizon 2007-2020 using least cost vehicular mix model. Then these optimal outputs will be analyzed to estimate health damage cost and congestion cost to support making policy. The key findings in this study are passenger travel demand can be met optimally and efficiently by optimization model that will change transportation mix, and significantly reduction in health damage cost and congestion cost in Hanoi |
Year | 2005 |
Type | Thesis |
School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
Chairperson(s) | Shrestha, Ram M. |
Examination Committee(s) | Kumar, S.;Nguyen Thi Kim Oanh;Sharma, Sudhir |
Scholarship Donor(s) | Norwegian Agency for International Development Cooperation (NORAD) |
Degree | Thesis (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2005 |