1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

A study of risks and prospect of real estate industry in China

AuthorDing, Guoyu
Call NumberAIT RSPR no.SM-07-10
Subject(s)Real estate business--Risk assessment--China

NoteA research study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Business Administration
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractSince the three phases housing reform policies been carried out, the real estate industry is liberated from the total welfare system in planning-economy era and enter a new time of privatization and commercialization. Following the process of implementation of the housing reform, especially the one launched in 1998, the real estate industry emerged from a neglectable sector has grown into the pillar of Chinese economy. Generally speaking, in terms of floor space, quality of the building and property related services, the housing conditions of Chinese urban residents have improved significantly. However, problems accompanied with the development of real estate industry also accelerated to an alarming extent in these years. The coexistence of skyrocketing housing prices and unusual high vacancy rate of residential building traps the government in dilemma. Through data analysis and comparison with international standards, the paper comes to the conclusion that the financial risks existing in real estate sector poses a severer threat to Chinese economy. The potential real estate bubbles crash will leave bankruptcy of considerable number of real estate developers and households borrowers and even commercial banks since over 60% capital of real estate investment are borrowed directly or indirectly from state-owned banks. Overheated investment and irrational housing price will never be settled if the central government cannot ensure the macro control policies are implemented by the local governments without any discount. If the current risky financial situation in real estate industry is properly managed, there will be a bright future for Chinese real estate industry with enhancement of urbanization. If central government's macro control measures fail, crash of real estate bubbles will lead to financial difficulty hence put a heavy load on the whole economy.
Year2007
TypeResearch Study Project Report (RSPR)
SchoolSchool of Management (SOM)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSMaster of Business Administration (MBA) (Publication code=SM)
Chairperson(s)Tang, John C. S.;
Examination Committee(s)Sununta Siengthai ;Zimmermann, Willi;
Scholarship Donor(s)Government of China;
DegreeResearch Studies Project Report (M.B.A.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2007


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