| Author | Iskenderovitch, Ishenaliev Rustam |
| Call Number | AIT RSPR no.GE-99-02 |
| Subject(s) | Transportation--Kyrgyzstan--Planning--Mathematical models
|
| Note | A research study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Civil Engineering |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Research studies project report ; no. GE-99-02 |
| Abstract | Evaluating various alternative transportation proposals is one of the most important stages in the transportation planning process. Traditional techniques employed in evaluation and prioritization of different courses of actions were mostly based on single-criterion cost-benefit analysis, which reduces all possible impacts of a course of action to monetary terms. Recently, the multicriteria decision analysis techniques were introduced as a convenient ways of taking into account all tangible and intangible effects of various initiatives. This study attempt to demonstrate the applicability of multicriteria evaluation techniques known as Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Analytic Network Process (ANP) to assess the transportation projects. The prioritization of major transportation improvement projects in Kyrgyzstan was chosen as a case study. Thus, two road projects and one railway project were studied; their priorities for implementation were established using ANP; and the results were compared with those obtained from ARP. ANP revealed more accurate results because it can deal with the problem more adequately, capturing the effect of feedback from alternatives. Also, the dependence of criteria on alternatives and dependence among criteria themselves are allowed in ANP. The sensitivity of results to changes in judgments has also been analyzed and it showed that the priorities could change under different scenario. In particular, it showed that with the higher priorities assigned to social and environmental values the rankings of the projects are reversed. Comparison of results obtained from ANP analysis with those of economic evaluation revealed that the outcomes were surprisingly close. However, a multicriteria approach provided more deeper understanding of factors and alternatives involved in the decision process and their complex relationships. The study concludes that ARP/ ANP framework provides a structured way of looking at problems, and allows for breaking down the complex problem into small constituent parts and then consequently dealing with each part until the goal is reached. AHP/ANP techniques can successfully deal with both tangibles and intangibles utilizing the derived ratio scale which gives the relative weights of factors and alternatives involved in the decision process. |
| Year | 2000 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Research studies project report ; no. GE-99-02 |
| Type | Research Study Project Report (RSPR) |
| School | School of Civil Engineering |
| Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Geotechnical Engineering (GE) |
| Chairperson(s) | Takahashi, Kiyoshi; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Yordphol Tanaboriboon;Pannapa Herabat; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Government of Japan; |
| Degree | Research Studies Project Report (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2000 |