Downscaling of climate scenarios in Mekong Delta, Vietnam | |
| Author | Cao Ngoc Hoa |
| Call Number | AIT Caps. Proj. no.CIE-14-07 |
| Subject(s) | Climatic changes--Mekong Delta (Vietnam) Weather forecasting--Mekong Delta (Vietnam) |
| Note | A capstone project report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science in Engineering in Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Caps. Proj. ; no. CIE-14-07 |
| Abstract | Development of economic and increasing population in recent century are causes of global warming. Results of global warming frequently happen natural disasters like storm, flood, drought and, etc. Increasing Greenhouse Gas (GHG) affects hydrological cycle in both variable climate precipitation and temperature in various season and regions. Therefore, forecasting climate change is the most important work to help stable development economic and assure living standard. In addition, Vietnam is one of five countries will be the strongest impact of climate change so understanding climate change are more urgent and needed. Global circulation model (GCM) is one of effective way to forecasting climate change. The study not only helps forecasting climate change scenario, it also gives information to understand more climate change. The main objective of my study is simulating scenario climate change in Mekong Delta base on historical data (1996 to 2005). The concentration of study will focus on two variable climate temperatures and precipitation. Precipitation has expected difficultly for forecasting. Ranges of period are expected to forecast in 2011-2040, 2041 to 2070 and 2071 to 2099. There is one of GCM model are selected base on vintage, resolution and plausibility corresponding with the study area. Base on output of GCM model compare to baseline historical data 1996-2005, the study will show intensive climate change in both variable climate temperature and precipitation. The study will mostly help farmers understanding trend of climate in future. They will directly change season time, varieties crops and investing irrigation constructions. |
| Year | 2014 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Caps. Proj. ; no. CIE-14-07 |
| Type | Capstone Project |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Civil and Infrastructure Engineering (CIE) |
| Chairperson(s) | Shrestha, Sangam ; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Sarawut Ninsawat; |
| Degree | Capstone Project (B.Sc.)-Asian Institute of Technology, 2014 |