| Author | Tu Ngoc Loan |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ET-97-30 |
| Subject(s) | Power resources--Vietnam--Vung Tau--Marketing
|
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements
for the degree of Master of Engineering |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | The electricity consumption data of the residential sector in Vungtau City have been
gathered and analyzed through a survey of 100 households in four different income groups.
Sub-sector and end-use electricity consumption have been estimated. Ownership levels of most
essential and common electrical appliances are above 70%. A major growth area that are
appliances associated with household income affects to electricity consumption of the residents
in Vungtau City. Nevertheless, a scale economies of household size in electricity consumption
has been observed that implies the effect of demographic changes to electricity consumption in
Vungtau City.
Apart from the analysis of the residential electricity consumption patterns, a regression
model was established to give the correlations of the factors of household income, number of
appliances and household size to the electricity consumption. The results show that a one
percent change in the number of appliances causes a 0.58% change in demand for electricity, a
one percent change in household income results in 0.12% change in demand for electricity in
the same direction, and a one percent change in household size results in 0.18% change in
demand for electricity if other variables remained the same respectively. Number of appliances
appears to be the best predictor of electricity consumption.
Considerable certainty exists about the development of electricity market in Vungtau
City. Demand growth for electricity are forecasted to grow at 25% per year in 1996-2000 and
17% in 2000-2005. The consequent capital investment increase of 17.6% per year are required
over 1997-2000-2005. The structure of the power sector and electricity tariffs are also
discussed in this study. From Vungtau's socio-economic and power market analysis, the
market drivers for private participation in the power sector are identified that are consist of
capacity expansions, financial constraints, changes of government policies towards
privatization, the appearance of Industrial Parks in Vungtau City and the availability of the
natural gas resource. In conclusion, the study has assessed the prospects for private
participation in the power sector of Vungtau City through the analysis of its real social
conditions and the development of electric sector in the city. |
| Year | 1997 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
| Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Giap, Van Dang |
| Examination Committee(s) | Pacudan, Romeo B.;Surapong Chirarattananon;Do, Ba Khang |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Government of France; |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1997 |