Projection of future rainfall in Yangon City | |
| Author | Eaindra Oo |
| Call Number | AIT Caps. Proj. no.CIE-16-16 |
| Subject(s) | Climatic changes--Myanmar--Yangon Rain and rainfall--Myanmar--Yangon Climatic changes--Mathemathical models |
| Note | A capstone project report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science in Engineering Civil And Infrastructure Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Caps. Proj. ; no. CIE-16-16 |
| Abstract | The weather pattern changes (temperature and rainfall) are alternating the water resources, thus affecting local water availability of the world. The Yangon City is prone to be vulnerable to climate change because of its poor adaption measures and management. The objective of this study is therefore to forecast the future rainfall changes under different future emission scenarios and different GCMs. The global future data (2010-99) were derived from 3GCMs: CCSM4, MIROC5 and MRI- CGCM3 under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5). This study applied delta change method; projecting the future bias corrected rainfall data under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios at the two stations; Kabaraye and Mingalardon. The observed data (1981-2009) was collected from Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, Myanmar. Results indicate that the future wettest month will be August, shifting from July (approxi- mately +46%) under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. In October, there will be rapidly rainfall changes in the fu ture period of 2010-99 under both scenarios. By checking seasonal changes, there will be more rainfall in the rainy season. Annual rainfall will be increased by 57% for Yangon City in the future. This research will help water resource management and disaster risk reduction planning for the Yangon City. |
| Year | 2016 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Caps. Proj. ; no. CIE-16-16 |
| Type | Capstone Project |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Civil and Infrastructure Engineering (CIE) |
| Chairperson(s) | Shrestha, Sangam; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Datta, Avishek; |
| Degree | Capstone Project (B.Sc.)-Asian Institute of Technology, 2016 |