| Author | Dien Quang Hieu |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.ET-96-09 |
| Subject(s) | Energy consumption--Vietnam--Forecasting
|
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements
for the degree of Master of Engineering |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | In this study, the socio-energy-economic interaction and their relationship in the 1990- 1995 period of HCMC is analyzed. Based on the energy-economic analysis and socio-economic interaction, the past evolution of energy consumption is studied. For the first time, a quantitative estimation of impacts of lifestyle on energy consumption is done. It is found that the economic development has had a strong influence on lifestyle which in turn, effects energy demand through its variables. These variables are income, government policy, energy consumer behaviour and urbanization, of which income and government policy variables played an important role in increasing energy demand of HCMC in the study period. Past analysis showed that government policy played a key role in poverty alleviation and social equilibration by controlling the economy and through their instruments like tax, subsidize, education distributed to all socio-economic income classes. With two macro economic scenarios (a reference and a poverty alleviation consideration scenarios), the MEDEE-S model is used to forecast ResCom energy demand of HCMC up to the year 2010. The forecast results demonstrate that energy demand with the poverty alleviation consideration is larger than the reference case's but a gap of electricity consumption by household between the inner and the suburbs of the poverty alleviation case become smaller over the time (while this figure of the reference case remain constant) as income class redistribution is taken into account. |
| Year | 1996 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
| Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Lefevre, Thierry; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Bhattacharya, Sribas C.;Pacudan, Romeo B.; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA); |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1996 |