1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

A system dynamics study of a commodity production system and its natural resource base : a case study of shrimp aquaculture in Thailand

AuthorArquitt, Steven Pate
Call NumberAIT RSPR no. NR-95-02
Subject(s)Shrimp culture--Thailand

NoteA research study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Science, School of Environment, Resources & Development
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
Series StatementResearch studies project report ; no. NR-95-02
AbstractA system dynamics model is built examining the sustainability of a commodity production system. Shrimp aquaculture ·in Thailand is taken as a case study. The system's sustainability is considered as a multi-dimensional phenomenon incorporating economic and ecological dimensions. The classic General Dynamic Commodity Model developed by Meadows (1970) is employed with the addition of modular structures representing the natural resource base and the influence of the world market. Driven by powerful international demand for shrimp, Thai cultured shrimp production has grown exponentially over the past decade to become the world leader in cultured shrimp exports. However, the development of the industry in Thailand appears to be following the same pattern as witnessed in Taiwan and subsequently in the Peoples' Republic of China. In both of these countries the shrimp aquaculture industry underwent explosive growth only to quickly collapse due to environmental contamination caused by the heavy organic waste loads generated by intensive shrimp aquaculture. The economic and ecological damage incurred in such a pattern of "boom and bust" development represents a significant loss for Thai society, present and future. The model developed presents a self-consistent hypothesis of the systematic problem behavior by explicitly defining the causal relationships and key feedback loops - between the world market for shrimp, Thai shrimp production capacitf, and the natural resource base. As such, the model provides a forum for consensus on the dynamic nature of the problem and can function as a tool aiding the elucidation of effective policy entry points. Finally, analyses of mitigative policies are demonstrated through simulation runs.
Year1995
Corresponding Series Added EntryAsian Institute of Technology. Research studies project report ; no. NR-95-02
TypeResearch Study Project Report (RSPR)
SchoolSchool of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD)
DepartmentDepartment of Development and Sustainability (DDS)
Academic Program/FoSNatural Resources Management (NRM)
Chairperson(s)Saeed, Khalid
Examination Committee(s)Apisit Eiumnoh ;Hambrey, John
DegreeResearch Studies Project Report (M. Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1995


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