1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Modal choice factor analysis and modeling for cities with MRT : case studies on Singapore and Calcutta

AuthorBhattacharjee, Debashish
Call NumberAIT Thesis no.GT-93-37
Subject(s)Local transit--Singapore
Local transit--India--Calcutta

NoteA thesis submitted to the School of Civil Engineering, Geotechnical and Transportation Engineering Program as a partial requirement for the Degree of Master of Engineering
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
Series StatementThesis ; no. GT-93-37
AbstractThe discrete models developed so far had not been able to consider the variability of several important intangible variables like: safety, reliability, accessibility of the mode, etc . The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) has therefore been applied to analyze the behavioral pattern of the respondents and their changes in attitude towards mode choice. The difference in the data requirement, calculation procedure as well as the conceptual part of the model has given AHP a unique dimension in the arena of choice analysis, where even a small number of data can handle the multidimensionality and the multilevel decision making process quite efficiently. In this research this model has been applied on a micro and macro basis of the behavioral studies in the two Asian cities, Singapore and Calcutta. Upon comparison it has been revealed that though the .choice ยท set is different and there exists a remarkable difference in the facilities available, the primary factors deciding one's Mode Choice criteria are almost similar in magnitude. But the difference in mode shares are mainly contributed by the difference in level of services and hence the perceived magnitude of preference of the mode. Here it has been propounded that though AHP approach can be used very efficiently to find out the behavioral aspects of the passenger psychology, it fails so far as modal share prediction is concerned. The primary reason behind its fa ilure in predicting the modal share is due to its approach, which rather tries to idealize the si tuation and does not consider the actual factors like, the level of services, personal characteristics etc. as direct inputs in the model. AHP Model discussed here can not efficiently estimate the Modal Split. Multinomial Logit models have also been developed and the personal traits influencing the models have been found to be compatible with the AHP results. 'Value of nme' for Singapore is found to be 8.87 Singapore $ (l US $ = 1.55 Singapore $) and that for Calcutta is Rs. 9.91 (1 US $ = 30 Rs.). In this research, effect of different policies on the modal shares have also been estimated by different approaches viz. sensitivity analysis of the AHP Model, aggregate analysis, etc. and a comparative study has beeh done. It has been unanimously pointed out that the usage of car can be affected more effectively by increasing the cost of usage. On the other hand, policies affecti ng the 'journey-time' has a greater effect on the share of public transportation modes.
Year1993
Corresponding Series Added EntryAsian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. GT-93-37
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Civil Engineering
DepartmentDepartment of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE)
Academic Program/FoSGeotechnical and Transportation Engineering (GT)
Chairperson(s)Hokao, Kazunori ;
Examination Committee(s)Yordphol Tanaboriboon;Takeyama, Yasushi;
Scholarship Donor(s)The Government of Norway;
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology


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