Sectoral energy demand analysis and industrial energy demand forecasting for the Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam | |
| Author | Nguyen Thanh Binh |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no. ET-94-28 |
| Subject(s) | Power resources--Research--Vietnam Energy consumption--Vietnam--Forecasting |
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | In this study, the Ho Chi Minh City's energy consumption by economic sectors such as industry, household and commerce, transport and agriculture in the 1982-1992 period is analyzed. The past evolution of energy consumption is studied based on the economic analysis and the techno-economic approach. It is found out that the economic development has had a strong influence on the evolution of the industrial energy consumption, particularly since 1988 when the sweeping reforms of the country were introduced. The MEDEE-S model is used to forecast the industrial energy demand up to the year 2012 based on two typical macro-economic scenarios (high and low cases). The possibility of gas penetration is considered as a fuel substitution for fuelwood during the forecasting periods. A set of demand-side management tools is also proposed based on the results of some preliminary energy audits made in HCMC and the experiences of neighboring countries. |
| Year | 1994 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Lefevre, Thierry |
| Examination Committee(s) | Heredia, Juan B.;Chen, Xavier |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | The Government of France |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1994 |