| Author | Arsegianto |
| Call Number | AIT Diss. no. ET-91-2 |
| Subject(s) | Petroleum chemicals industry--Indonesia
|
| Note | A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the
requirements for the degree of Doctor of Technical. Science, School of Environment, Resources and Development |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | The development of petrochemical industry is a part of the industrial
development program in Indonesia. Considering the comparative advantage of the
availability of oil and gas, which are the precursors of most petrochemical products,
in the country, the industry will be based on these indigenous resources.
Eventhough a master plan for the petrochemical industry has already been
established, the policy that will guide the development of the industry has not
yet been formulated.
This study is intended to set a procedure for policy formulation and produce
an analytical tool for the policy assessment. Following the procedure, various
policy alternatives are formulated for the petrochemical industry and the gas
and oil sector. Based on the problems and the policy formulated, an integrated
framework linking the petrochemical industry, the oil and gas sector, and the
economy was developed. Basically, the model is based on system dynamics approach,
which is suitable for the modeling of a social system. Statics model is also used
to calculate the :indicators which :involve a great number of mathematical
manipulation. Two statics models used in this study include t he Leontief input-output and mathematical programming. Combination of the two paradigms, statics
and dynamics, produces a more practical and detailed model.
Experimentation of different policy alternatives is carried out to examine
the short-run as well as long-run policy implications on the performances of the
petrochemical :industry and oil and gas sector. The results show that a strategic
industrial policy, which protects the petrochemical industry, is needed for the
development of the :industry. Providing the subsidy on naphtha or gas feedstocks,
and imposing a high tariffs to the chemical imports are necessary to put the
olefin plants on stream. On the oil and gas sector, the country also foresees oil
shortages in the near future under current policy. Incentive of increasing the
oil profit share to the oil companies will be an effective policy to boost the
exploration as an effort to maintain the proven oil reserves from rapid depletion. |
| Year | 1991 |
| Type | Dissertation |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD) |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Energy Technology (ET) |
| Chairperson(s) | Shrestha, Ram M. ;Foell, Wesley K.
|
| Examination Committee(s) | Mora, Jean-Claude ;Tabucanon, Mario T. ;Saeed, Khalid ;Rudd, Dale F.
|
| Scholarship Donor(s) | The Government of Japan |
| Degree | Thesis (Ph.D.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1991 |