| Author | Miah, Md. Abdul Quader |
| Call Number | AIT Diss. no. HS-89-01 |
| Subject(s) | Slums--Pakistan--Dhaka
|
| Note | A dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for
the award of the Degree of Doctor of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Dissertation ; no. HS-89-01 |
| Abstract | In the wake of rapid urbanization, the proliferation of a large number
of slums in the cities of developing countries is a singularly drastic
manifestation of urban poverty, resulting in deteriorating conditions of
housing and public services. Earlier attempts by governments of countries
in the developing world failed to solve the problem. Even the recent
concept of slum upgrading could not bring about the desired results, for
it proved not being replicable due mainly to scarcity of resources on the
part of the initiators. This has necessitated cost recovery, an unconventional
concept and one of the latest ingredients of slum upgrading.
The crucial aspect of cost recovery is dwellers' affordability. This calls
for an in depth study of the implicit determinants of affordability and
their intrinsic relationships. There is a severe lack of evidence and
clarity in this regard.
A cross-section of three-year time series data (9186-1988) required
for this research was collected from Dhaka, Bangladesh with a master
sample size of 750 dwellers' households spread over six slums. The research
design involves the innovative technique of combined two-stage
and two-step sampling, where slums are selected and then a proportionately
area based as well as proportionately stratified sample is drawn from
among owners and renters.
An exponential and multiplicative econometric dynamic model has been
developed using the two- step CLS technique. It shows the intrinsic and
significant relationship between affordability and fourteen exogenous
variables, namely, preceding year's affordability, remittance to home
village, education of household head, household size, saving,
non-housing expenditure, tenure, area of house, number of rooms, utilities,
capital cost, quality of house structure, infrastructure and
neighborhood, current household income, and preceding year's household
income. The model parameters pass all the tests based on theoretical,
statistical and econometric criteria. The model possesses satisfactory
predicting power and all desirable properties.
Affordability has positive or negative short-run and long-run
elasticities with respect to the individual exogenous variables which display
diminishing marginal propensity to afford. Their combined influence
brings together increased returns to scale to affordability with increased
marginal propensity to afford. The model can serve all the three purposes
of structural analysis, forecasting, and policy making.
Affordability is found to be most sensitive to changes of tenure, followed
by structural, infrastructure as well as neighborhood qualities
and income. It is much less sensitive to changes of education of household
head, remittance and saving. |
| Year | 1989 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Dissertation ; no. HS-89-01 |
| Type | Dissertation |
| School | School of Environment, Resources, and Development |
| Department | Department of Energy and Climate Change (Former title: Department of Energy, Environment, and Climate Change (DEECC)) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Human Settlement (HS) |
| Chairperson(s) | Weber, Karl E.; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Orth, Hermann M.;Amin, A.T.M. Nurul;Setty, E. Desingu;Tran, Francis T.;Koenigsberger, Otto H.; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Government of Japan; |
| Degree | Thesis (Ph.D.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1989 |