| Author | Kyaw Myint Win |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no. WA-91-25 |
| Subject(s) | Flood dams and reservoirs
|
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master
of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | In the present study, two dynamic programming models, Deterministic Dynamic
programming (DDP) and Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) are developed to find the
optimum operation policies of a flood control reservoir system. Ubol Ratana Reservoir was
selected as a case study. The purpose of flood control was given priority for Ubol Ratana
Reservoir. Both models were derived by using the different alternative objective function
with the same hypothetical loss function defining the flood loss due to nonideal reservoir
operation for flood control. In this study, Deterministic Dynamic Programming model used
a min-max type of objective function.
The stochastic nature of inflows to the reservoir was explicitly taken into account in
SDP model. The synthetic inflow data generated by AR(2) model for 100 years were
applied in the second order Markov Chain model (lag two), which would be used to describe
the stochastic nature of inflows to the reservoir. Transition probability matrices, estimated
from the generated synthetic inflows with the second order Markov chain, are used to
incorporate serial correlation among inflows to the reservoir.
To test the usefulness of the both DDP and SDP model in reservoir operation policies
reservoir operation simulation models were constructed. The optimal reservoir operation
policies derived by DDP and SDP models were then applied in the operation of simulation
model and their performances were evaluated and compared.
Finally, the operational results obtained from the reservoir operation simulation
models by using DDP and SDP based optimal operation policies were compared with the
operational results obtained from the simulation of Ubol Ratana Reservoir operation based
on the existing rule curve and two principal targets of flood control strategies previously
suggested. |
| Year | 1991 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Water Resources Research Engineering (WA) |
| Chairperson(s) | Harboe, Ricardo
|
| Examination Committee(s) | Tawatchai Tingsanchali ;Huynh Ngoc Phien |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Government of Australia |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1991 |