Study of the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth in Thailand | |
| Author | Li, Jian |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no. GT-88-29 |
| Subject(s) | Transportation--Thailand Foreign trade promotion--Thailand |
| Note | A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Thesis ; no. GT-88-29 |
| Abstract | Usually, the estimation of foreign trade cargo volume is based on
either past cargo throughputs or on major economic indices. These methods
do not take national, or regional, economic structure into consideration.
However, since foreign trade cargo comes from every production sector, it is
closely related to the whole economic structure rather than any single
sector. In this sense, cargo throughputs or one or several economic indices
alone cannot exactly reveal the complicated relationship between them. The
main purpose of this study is to forecast export and import cargo volume
relying on the relationship between them and economic growth from the
viewpoint of national economic structure analysis. The input-output table is
employed to make such an analysis. First, aggregation of 180 sectors of the
input-output table to 24 sectors is achieved. Next, the analysis tries to
update the table by the RAS method so that the estimation may relate more
directly to the structural changes in Thailand's economy. In the process,
modified criteria are also used for the RAS technique. Then, the estimation of
the cargo volume of Thailand's exports and imports for 1991 is achieved both
exogenously and endogenously. During the estimation import value, import
content of final demand and import content of internal demand are classified.
It is also intended to transfer the money value of foreign trade to its cargo
volume. Some reclassification arrangements of sectors in the input-output
table and the Foreign Trade Statistics are made. The calculation of the
whole procedure is carried out by using the data in Thailand. There is also
some discussion of transportation supply from a macro development strategy
viewpoint. The result shows that with the high growth rate of Thailand's
economy, the foreign trade volume will increase substantially, and the total
cargo volume of export and import will be 64,284 thousands tons |
| Year | 1989 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. GT-88-29 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Geotechnical and Transportation Engineering (GT) |
| Chairperson(s) | Inamura, Hajime |
| Examination Committee(s) | Yordphol Tanaboriboon ;Kuroda, Koji |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Government of Australia ; |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1989 |