1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Energy demand analysis and forecasting : the Metro Manila urban transport sector

AuthorCulaba, Alvin B.
Call NumberAIT Thesis no. ET-90-9
Subject(s)Energy consumption--Philippines--Manila--Forecasting
NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractThe pattern of energy demand in the road transport in Metro Manila in the Philippines was analyzed based on historical trend. Analyses showed that consumption in the sector is strongly influenced by gasoline fuel where it accounts for about two-thirds of the total fuel consumption. The other third is consumed by diesel fuel. Likewise, the energy demand in the year 2010 was forecasted using the techno-economic approach, the MEDEE-S model. The methodology involved specific surveys on the sector. The gas station and bus company surveys reconstitute the overall energy consumption breakdown in Metro Manila's road transport. It was found out that 67% of the total fuel consumption is accounted for by gasoline while 33% goes to diesel where cars consume about 50% of these total consumption of fuel. The main determinants of the future energy demand sector are specific consumption and mileage . Results forecast show that gasoline would still account for the share in the energy consumption as economy and population grow.
Year1990
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Environment, Resources, and Development (SERD)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSEnergy Technology (ET)
Chairperson(s)Lapillonne, Bruno
Examination Committee(s)Mora, Jean-Claude ;Giap Van Dang ;Zhai Youg-Ping
Scholarship Donor(s)The Government of France
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1990


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