| Abstract | The government's spatial policy within the Seoul Metropolitan Region (SMR)
aims to disperse overconcentrated population and industries from the mega-city,
Seoul, toward the fringe areas of the region. This policy stems from on the awareness
that the serious population a nd functional concentrations in Seoul have exposed a
large number of side effects including the issue of regional disparity and diseconomy
of Seoul itself.
According to the present high - level plan (Growth Control and Management Plan
for Seoul r egion), the southern fringe counties of the SMR are, in particular, expected
to experience a hlgh growth of population and industries as newly organized and
relocated industries would be accommodated within this region. This is to say, the
southern fringe areas of the SMR are expected to experience rapid changes in their
land-use patterns primarily through the considerable reduction of forest land and/oc
agricultural land.
With this back ground, this research, through a case- study on the southern four
fringe counties of the SMR, attempted to identify those critical macro-level
determinants of population, accessibility, land and public facilities which have
affected the changes in the amount of land used for urban uses. For t his purpose ,
Stepwise Multiple Regression was employed and it showed that population density,
percent of forest land and access to the nearest highway interchange were major
determinants while percent of nonfarm households, supply rate of piped-water and
number of factory employees were minor determinants in terms of their contribution
ratios.
An application of Principal Component Analysis and Factor Score identified four
factors as the underlying dimensions of the determinants and delivered each factor's
spatial distributions within the study area.
In relation to the results, the study reviewed the high-level SMR policies and
plans and discussed some preliminary conditions/problems which should be solved
in order to achieve planned fringe development. These high- level policy/plan
problems are (1) incompleteness in the comprehensive approach, (11) inconsistencies
among related plans and laws, (iii) plurality of the concerned government agencies
and (iV) absence of a reasonable county plan.
The research , lastly, discussed some present/ possible problems-land speculation,
scattered development, environmental pollution, traffic congestion and insufficient
urban facilities- which (possibly) occur in the process of metropolitan fringe land
development, and suggested a series of public intervention tools such as the market
measures, regulatory measures and direct ownership as useful ways of the preventing
and minimizing those present/possible problems. |