1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Application of the analytic hierarchy process to assess country risk

AuthorYou, Hong
Call NumberAIT Thesis no.IE-90-31
Subject(s)Risk assessment
Note A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractCountry risk analysis is one of the most important analytical tools used b y private lending institutions and investors in determining the credit two thinness of a p articular country. A Analytic Hierarchy Process model is used to determine the risk level for particular country from a set of selected countries. Independent. political, economic and social factors are taken in o consideration in this model. Results of this study indicate that economic risk and political risk are the most important factors in determining country risk l eve l compared with social risk factor. Economic risk consists of seven indicators such as debt service to exports, external debt to GDP , balance of payments , growth of per capita GDP, infrastructure, inflation rate and growth of exports. Among these indicators , debt service t o export s and growth of exports are more important compared with the others. The overall country risk ranking for seven countries selected in this study is: Philippines , China, India, Malaysia , Thai land, South Korea, and Singapore. Philippines has the highest risk which came from both economic and political factors. Singapore is the least risk since its economy is developed and it enjoys political stability.
Year1990
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Engineering and Technology (SET)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSIndustrial Engineering (IE)
Chairperson(s)Tang, John C.S.
Examination Committee(s)Tabucanon, Mario T. ;Vrat, Prem
Scholarship Donor(s)The Royal Government of Belgium
DegreeThesis (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1990


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