1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

A search for cyclical trends in the economy of Thailand

AuthorTan, Kuangxu
Call NumberAIT Thesis no. IE-88-23
Subject(s)Time-series analysis
Thailand--Economic conditions
NoteA thesis summitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractWill the next year's economy outperform this year's? When will the economy revive from a recession? How long will a boom economy last? These are questions usually asked by businessmen and policymakers. They are interested in the future economic condition because they want to take an appropriate action or policy at the right time. This study concentrates on a search for cyclical trends in the economy of Thailand, through time series analysis in frequency domain, called "spectral analysis". The main idea of this technique is to decompose a time series into several cyclical components and then to examine their percentage portions in the total variances. The results obtained from the technique can be used as a preliminary knowledge in constructing a dynamic model of business cycles in the economy of Thailand.
Year1988
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Engineering and Technology (SET)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSIndustrial Engineering (IE)
Chairperson(s)Saeed, Khalid
Examination Committee(s)Tang, John C.S. ;Vanchai Ariyabuddhiphongs
Scholarship Donor(s)German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD), The Federal Republic of Germany
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1988


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