1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Domestic air travel demand forecasting model in Thailand

AuthorTrinidad, Metodia Maquiling
Call NumberAIT Thesis no.GT-86-38
Subject(s)Air travel

NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractAn investigation was conducted to develop an air travel demand forecasting model to predict the volume of air passengers traveling in specific routes in the Kingdom of Thailand. The previous related studies are reviewed and the state of domestic air transportation in Thailand is presented. The characteristics of domestic air travel demand in Thailand is investigated through the analysis of statistical data . It is found that tourists from outside Thailand have a high influence on the air travel pattern in the country. Thus, two mathematical intercity air traffic demand forecasting models for Thailand are developed based on the concept of modified gravity model. The first model considers the influence of country residents alone; and the second considers the combined influence of country residents and foreign tourists in tourist routes. Due to non-availability of necessary data for the calibration of these two models, a simplified model was used and calibrated. The simplified model, which incorporates population and distance factors, was found to explain 67% of the variation of the dependent variable.
Year1987
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Engineering and Technology (SET)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSGeotechnical and Transportation Engineering (GT)
Chairperson(s)Miyamoto, Kazuaki
Examination Committee(s)Murata, Takahiro ; Yordphol Tanaboriboon ;
Scholarship Donor(s)The Government of Italy/UNDP;
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1987


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