| Author | Hai, Song |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no. IE-87-10 |
| Subject(s) | China--Economic conditions--Econometric models
|
| Note |
A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Thesis ; no. IE-87-10 |
| Abstract | An econometric model for the Chinese economy is presented
in this study in order to quantify the economic structure of China as well as to forecast the economic development level of
China by the end of this century .
Starting from the discussion of the general methods of
mode l-building, the study describe the Chinese economic
structure and environment , and then goes through a complete
process of model-building for China.
The model constructed in this study consists of 43
equations , of which 23 are stochastic while 20 are definitions.
27 exogenous variables including 12 dummy variables are
introduced in this study . The model is divided into four parts:
Investment a nd formation of fixed assets of state-owned units,
Production of society, Generation of national income and
Distribution of national income .
Static and dynamic simulations of the model are undertaken
in this study. The simulation results show that the model works
well in the observation period.
A number of estimated equations of the model are selected
for analysis in order to study the structure of the Chinese
economy .
The forecasts of the Chinese economy by the end of this
century combined with an analysis of policy-making are
presented in this study. The forecasting results show that the
Chinese economy will grow at a stable and high rate if the
proper po1icy is adopted.
|
| Year | 1987 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. IE-87-10 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Industrial Engineering (IE) |
| Chairperson(s) | Frausum, Yves G. Van; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Clarke Harry R. ;Verbiest, Jean-Pierre A. ; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | The Government of Japan; |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 198 |