A study on interregional migration in Thailand applying Markov process models | |
| Author | Honda, Eri |
| Call Number | AIT RSPR no.HS-85-02 |
| Subject(s) | Migration, Internal--Thailand Markov processes |
| Note | A research study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | The high and increasing mobility of people and their concentration in the metropolitan area (Bangkok) is one of the outstanding phenomena which Thailand shares with other developing countries. On the other hand, urbanization does not improve people's life to a certain extent, and there is a problem about their maladjustment to live in urban places. This study aims to find out the characteristics of interregional population migration and to discuss the possibility of applying a probabilistic model - - - Markov process model --- to the population migration studies in the developing ·countries where data may be limited. In the first part, the differentials of the patterns of population migration by region, by age and by sex are discussed. And in the second part, the structure of interregional population migration process and the factors which encourage interregional population migration are examined. Thailand is divided into five regions for the analysis. Results of the national censuses show that the big flow from the Northeastern region where agricultural land is diminishing and that there is few opportunities of earning besides agriculture. While the biggest flow is in Bangkok Metropolis. Analysis with the Markov process model indicates that while urban areas invite people with high economic power, rural areas also attract people with their stable agricultural production. Although the model does not have satisfactory explanation power due to the constraints of data used, it will still explain some part of the deter minatory structure satisfying two conditions of the Markov process model which are: each column sum is one and each estimated value of the factor cannot be negative. In order to assure effectiveness in the conduct of population migration studies in the developing countries, its further application to the other developing countries and the comparison of results is required. |
| Year | 1985 |
| Type | Research Study Project Report (RSPR) |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Human Settlement (HS) |
| Chairperson(s) | Onishi, Takashi |
| Examination Committee(s) | Setty, E. Desingu ;Islam, Nazrul ;Guimaraes, Joao P. C. |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Keidanren, Japan |
| Degree | Research Studies Project Report (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1985 |