1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Evaluating supply chain resilience : renewal theory and Markov chain modeling approaches

AuthorSuchera Putthakosa
Call NumberAIT Diss. no. ISE-23-04
Subject(s)Business logistics--Mathematical model
Markov Chains
Markov processes
NoteA Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Engineering in Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractThe frequency and severity of supply chain disruptions have escalated significantly. The COVID-19 pandemic is as a clear illustration of the vulnerabilities and prolonged recovery time which are present in the global supply chain. In light of the above, it is necessary to reconstruct and reshape the supply chain to proactively and effectively address unprecedented circumstances by exploring novel approaches. As a result, developing resilience in the supply chain is mandatory to deal with those risks. This research examines a supply chain in which a supplier may experience disruptions, followed by the integration of a manufacturer who bears the adverse consequences of disruption at supplier. The primary objective is to assess the supply chain network’s resilience through sustainability, vulnerability, and recoverability measures. These measures, which can be used to evaluate the system’s resilience, will be derived in both instant and long-term forms. At first, a renewal theory approach is utilized to determine the long-term resilience measures of the system. Then, a continuous-time Markov Chain approach is used to assess instant and long-term resilience measures. The impact of the model’s parameters on resilience measures was also investigated through sensitivity analyses. This study’s findings can help supply chain managers to make decision on which rates of transition between the states of the system needed to be adjusted so as to enhance the sustainability and recoverability of the system while decreasing its vulnerability.
Year2023
TypeDissertation
SchoolSchool of Engineering and Technology
DepartmentDepartment of Industrial Systems Engineering (DISE)
Academic Program/FoSIndustrial and Manufacturing Engineering (IME)
Chairperson(s)Huynh, Trung Luong
Examination Committee(s)Mongkol Ekpanyapong;Loc, Thai Nguyen
Scholarship Donor(s)His Majesty the King’s Scholarships
DegreeThesis (Ph. D.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2023


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