| Author | Khan, Md. Safiqur Rahman |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no. 1164 |
| Subject(s) | Energy consumption
|
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering of the Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | The primary aim of this study is to make a forecast regarding nonrenewable energy resources consumption pattern. To attain this objective the study has been divided into two parts. In the first part, consumption of energy, derived from different sources for the last 25 years has been
analyzed. These analysis includes the consumption of the World as a whole, developing countries of different regions and some other selected
countries. It has been found that energy consumption has been growing exponentially in each case. But this exponential growth cannot continue for infinite period as the reserves are finite. Hence, an assumption
has been made that, future energy consumption will depend upon the past trend, as well as the extent of remaining reserves. Using this assumption, an empirical model has been developed ·in the second part of this study, to forecast the future energy consumption of each individual primary energy source (including coal, oil, natural gas and nuclear energy). In order to retain the dynamic nature of the forecast, the system dynamics
methodology has been used. Since the reserve estimates vary from estimator to estimator, four sets of reserve estimates were used for forecasting with this model. The model' s forecasts are finally compared with other forecast. |
| Year | 1977 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | Student Research Before 1979 |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Thesis (Year <=1979) |
| Chairperson(s) | Sharif, M. N. |
| Examination Committee(s) | Pakorn Adulbhan ; Techapun Raengkhum |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Government of The Netherlands |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1977 |